Economic and Fiscal Monitor - August 2017
<p>This report provides an in-year estimate of Canadian gross domestic product in 2017 and the Government of Canada’s budgetary balance in 2016 - 17 and 2017-18, based on data released...
View ArticleHousehold Indebtedness and Financial Vulnerability - Recent Developments and...
<p>This report reviews recent developments in household finances and assesses prospects for financial vulnerability over the medium term based on PBO’s April 2017 Economic and Fiscal...
View ArticleA Primer on Public Transit Tax Credit
<div id="445740"><span id="445741">In response to a request by the Member of Parliament for Carleton, the </span><span id="445743">Honourable Pierre Poilievre, the PBO has...
View ArticleHousehold Formation and the Housing Stock - May 2017 update
<p>This report responds to the 10 May 2017 request by the Honourable Elizabeth Marshall to provide an update of the 13 December 2016 PBO report “Household Formation and the Housing...
View ArticleEconomic and Fiscal Outlook - April 2017
<p>This report responds to the 4 February 2016 Standing Committee on Finance motion that “consistent with the Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) mandate to provide independent analysis...
View ArticleThe Canada-EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement - A Prospective...
<p>PBO looks at the projected impact on Canada of the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA). Though the agreement is extensive, its impact in aggregate on the Canadian economy is...
View ArticleHousehold Formation and the Housing Stock: A Stock-Flow Perspective
<p>This report provides estimates of household formation and the housing stock in Canada, and also attempts to gauge the degree of balance in the housing sector, both for new housing units and...
View ArticleLabour Market Assessment 2016
<p>PBO finds that most labour market indicators remain fairly close to their trend levels, except for average hours worked which is below trend. Our analysis suggests that, at the national level,...
View ArticleEconomic and Fiscal Outlook October 2016
<p>In response to the 4 February 2016 Standing Committee on Finance motion, this report provides PBO’s economic and fiscal outlook.</p>
View ArticleDiscussion Documents for Consultation on Renewed Mandate for the...
<p>Discussion Documents for Consultation on Renewed Mandate for the Parliamentary Budget Officer</p>
View ArticleFiscal Sustainability Report 2016
<p>This report extends PBO’s medium-term analysis to assess the fiscal sustainability of Canada’s federal government, subnational governments and public pension plans.</p>
View ArticleFiscal Sustainability Report 2017
This report provides PBO’s assessment of the sustainability of government finances over the long term for the federal government, subnational governments and public pension plans.
View ArticleFSR 2017 – Fiscal projection methodology follow-up
This blog post provides follow-up information related to the long-term fiscal projection methodology used in PBO’s 2017 Fiscal Sustainability Report (FSR) that was published on...
View ArticleEconomic and Fiscal Outlook – October 2017
Consistent with the Parliamentary Budget Officer’s legislated mandate, this report provides PBO’s economic and fiscal outlook.
View ArticleSupplementary Estimates (B) 2017-18
This note presents a detailed analysis of the Government’s second supplementary estimates for the 2017-18 fiscal year.
View ArticleFSR 2017 – Provincial-Territorial Health Care Cost Drivers
The following presents a decomposition of cost drivers for growth in provincial-territorial health care spending.
View ArticleFall Economic Statement 2017: Issues for Parliamentarians
This report identifies key issues arising from the Government’s Fall Economic Statement.
View ArticlePBO and Finance Canada Long-term Projection Comparison
This report provides a comparison of long-term economic and fiscal projections prepared by Finance Canada and PBO in 2017.
View ArticleEconomic and Fiscal Monitor - January 2018
This report provides an in-year estimate of Canadian gross domestic product in 2017 and the Government of Canada’s budgetary balance in 2017 18, based on data released since our October 2017...
View ArticleBudget 2018: Issues for Parliamentarians
To assist parliamentarians in their budget deliberations, this report highlights key issues arising from Budget 2018.
View ArticleStatus Report on Phase 1 of the New Infrastructure Plan
This report provides status report on Phase 1 of the Government’s New Infrastructure Plan, which was announced in Budget 2016 and intended to stimulate economic growth over the...
View ArticleCosting a National Guaranteed Basic Income Using the Ontario Basic Income Model
This report responds to a request of Mr. Pierre Poilievre (Carleton–CPC) to estimate the cost of establishing a guaranteed basic income program at the national level. PBO takes the...
View ArticlePatent restoration and the cost of pharmaceuticals
This report pulls together a number of databases so as to estimate the cost of recent regulatory changes governing patented pharmaceuticals. It compares the cost of patented innovative medicines with...
View ArticleThe Impact of a Pan-Canadian Carbon Pricing Levy on PBO’s GDP Projection
This report provides additional detail related to the economic impact of the carbon pricing levy presented in PBO’s April 2018 Economic and Fiscal Outlook.
View ArticleExtended April 2018 Economic and Fiscal Outlook
In preparation for the financial costing of election campaign proposals in 2019, the PBO is taking this opportunity to produce an extended outlook and line-item costing. The PBO encourages...
View ArticlePBO's Approach to Measuring Potential GDP
This report describes PBO’s approach to measuring potential GDP.
View ArticleStatus Report on Phase 1 of the Investing in Canada Plan
This report a status update on Phase 1 of the Government’s Investing in Canada Plan, which was announced in Budget 2016 and intended to provide a short-term economic boost to the economy.
View ArticleFiscal Sustainability Report 2018
This report provides PBO’s assessment of the sustainability of government finances over the long term for the federal government, subnational governments and public pension plans.
View ArticleLabour Market Assessment - 2018
This report provides parliamentarians with an assessment of the state of Canada’s labour market. It examines labour market indicators relative to their trend estimates, and looks at wage...
View ArticleEconomic and Fiscal Outlook - October 2018 - Revised Oct. 31, 2018
Consistent with the Parliamentary Budget Officer’s legislated mandate, this report provides PBO’s economic and fiscal outlook.
View ArticleCost Estimate of a Reduction in the Federal Corporate Income Tax Rate
This report responds to a request to provide the estimated fiscal cost of reducing the federal corporate income tax rate by 1 percentage point per year over 6 years. By the end of 6 years, this...
View ArticleFall Economic Statement 2018: Issues for Parliamentarians
To assist parliamentarians in their pre-budget deliberations, this report identifies key issues arising from the Government’s Fall Economic Statement published on 21 November 2018.
View ArticlePBO and Finance Canada Long-term Projection Comparison
Consistent with the PBO's legislated mandate, this report provides a comparison of long-term economic and fiscal projections prepared by Finance Canada and PBO in 2018.
View ArticleLabour Market Assessment 2018: Wage inequality – Update
This note updates selected results from our assessment published in October 2018, incorporating recently released data for the fourth quarter of 2018.
View ArticleEconomic and Fiscal Monitor - February 2019
This report provides an in-year estimate of Canada’s gross domestic product (GDP) in 2018 and the Government of Canada’s budgetary balance in 2018 19, based on data released since...
View ArticleInfrastructure Update: Investments in Provinces and Municipalities - Revised:...
The report examines infrastructure investments made by provinces and some municipalities with the objective to identify the incremental impact of federal infrastructure funding on provincial and...
View ArticleThe impact of the Canada – United States – Mexico Agreement on prescription...
This report estimates the additional pharmacy-dispensed prescription drug expenditures for Canadian consumers that would result from the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA). A two-year...
View ArticleInfrastructure Update: Investments in Territories
The report examines capital investments made by territories with the objective to identify the incremental impact of federal infrastructure funding on their capital spending in 2016-17 and 2017-18.
View ArticleEconomic and Fiscal Outlook - April 2019
Consistent with the Parliamentary Budget Officer’s legislated mandate, this report provides PBO’s economic and fiscal outlook.
View ArticleClosing the gap: carbon pricing for the Paris target (Revised June 20, 2019)
This report provides an estimate of the additional carbon price that would be needed to achieve Canada’s greenhouse gas emissions target in 2030 under the Paris Agreement, as well as an...
View ArticleElection Proposal Costing Baseline
This report provides PBO’s economic and fiscal baseline projection for the 2019 election proposal costing period.
View ArticleEconomic and Fiscal Outlook – November 2019
Consistent with the Parliamentary Budget Officer’s legislated mandate, this report provides PBO’s economic and fiscal outlook.
View ArticleEconomic and Fiscal Update 2019: Issues for Parliamentarians
To assist parliamentarians in their pre-budget deliberations, this report identifies key issues arising from the Government’s Economic and Fiscal Update published on 16 December 2019.
View ArticleEconomic and Fiscal Monitor - February 2020
This report provides a real-time estimate of growth in Canada’s gross domestic product (GDP) and the Government of Canada’s budgetary balance in 2019-20 based on data released since...
View ArticleLabour Market Assessment – 2020
This report provides parliamentarians with an assessment of the state of the labour market in Canada.
View ArticleSupplementary Estimates (B) 2019-20
This note presents a detailed analysis of the Government’s second supplementary estimates for the 2019-20 fiscal year, which seeks Parliament’s approval of $3.8 billion to be spent...
View ArticleSurtaxes on Steel, Aluminum, and Other Goods: Issues for Parliamentarians
To assist parliamentarians in their role to scrutinize the raising and spending of public monies, this report provides an overview of the revenues and spending measures associated with the Government...
View ArticleScenario Analysis: COVID-19 Pandemic and Oil Price Shocks
This report provides a scenario analysis to help parliamentarians gauge potential economic and fiscal implications of the COVID-19 pandemic and recent oil market developments. This report incorporates...
View ArticleScenario Analysis Update: COVID-19 Pandemic and Oil Price Shocks
This report provides an updated scenario analysis to help parliamentarians gauge potential economic and fiscal implications of the COVID-19 pandemic and recent oil market developments. This report...
View ArticleScenario Analysis Update: COVID-19 Pandemic and Oil Price Shocks
This report provides an updated scenario analysis to help parliamentarians gauge potential economic and fiscal implications of the COVID-19 pandemic and recent oil market developments. This report...
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